Arizona's Economy.
Economic & Business Research Center.
Economic & Business Research Center.

April 2009 - Spring Issue

 

Unemployment Rates – All Six of Them

Alberta H. Charney, PhD

Recently, the U.S. unemployment rate increased to 8.1 percent.  This represents the portion of the labor force that is looking for a job but is currently unemployed.  The definition of the labor force is the sum of employed persons plus persons looking for work.

Under this definition, if a person has been laid off from a high paying manufacturing job and, to make ends meet, is working at a fast food restaurant, they are considered “employed.”  If there are substantial numbers of these “underemployed” persons, then the traditional unemployment rate will significantly underestimate the level of suffering in the economy.

The traditional unemployment rate is actually one of six different unemployment rates.  They are known as U1 – U6 and the traditional unemployment rate is U-3. While the traditional unemployment rate, U-3, has reached 8.1 percent, the broader definitions of unemployment are higher.

U-4, which includes discouraged workers is only slightly above U-3.  There is a bigger increase of almost 2/3rds of a percent when marginally attached workers are included (U-5).  But when persons working part-time who would prefer to have full-time employment are added, the unemployment rate is almost 15 percent (U-6).  Since 1994, when U-4 – U-6 were added, U-6 had been approximately 3.1 – 4.5 percent higher than U-6.  In the most recent month, U-6 was 6.7 percent higher than U-3. 

The following are the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ definitions of the six measures of unemployment rates.

  • U-1:  Persons unemployed 15 weeks or longer, as a percent of the civilian labor force.
  • U-2: Job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs, as a percent of the civilian labor force.
  • U-3: Total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force (the official unemployment rate).
  • U-4: Total unemployed plus discouraged workers, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus discouraged workers.
  • U-5: Total unemployed, plus discouraged workers, plus all other marginally attached workers, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all marginally attached workers.
  • U-6: Total unemployed, plus all marginally attached workers, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all marginally attached workers.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, marginally attached workers are persons who currently are neither working nor looking for work but indicate that they want and are available for a job and have looked for work sometime in the recent past.

Discouraged workers, a subset of the marginally attached, have given a job-market related reason for not currently looking for a job.  They are discouraged from looking due to job-market condition.

Persons employed part time for economic reasons are those who want and are available for full-time work but have had to settle for a part-time schedule.

The following table contains a graph of the six unemployment rates for the U.S. Because the latest available monthly unemployment rate is for February 2009, each of the unemployment rates shown below are for February in the year indicated. end

Table 1: U.S. Unemployment Rates for February of Each Year

Unemployment Rates defined

 

return to homepage

 
dfhd
dfh
print Print PDF

In This Issue:

Patience is a Virtue

The Economic Importance of High-Tech Industry in Arizona

Arizona High-Tech Industry Drivers

Unemployment Rates: All Six of Them

Federal Marginal Income Tax Rates: A History

Educate or Incarcerate?


AZ Economic Indicators
  Arizona
  Phoenix/Mesa
  Tucson
  Inflation and Prices
  Tourism
   
Economic Forecasts
  Arizona
  Phoenix/Mesa
  Tucson
   
County Indicators


Thank you to our partners for their ongoing sponsorship of Economic
and Business Research Center programs!

 Forecasting Sponsors:

  Arizona Department of     Commerce
  Arizona Joint Legislative
    Budget Committee
  Arizona Public Service Co.
  Bascom Arizona Ventures,      LLC
  BeachFleischman
  CB Richard Ellis
  Chase
  City of Glendale
  City of Mesa
  City of Tempe
  City of Tucson
  Compass Bank
  Cox Communications
  Elliott D. Pollack & Co.
  Grubb & Ellis Co.
  Maricopa Association of
    Governments
  Maricopa County
  Pascua Yaqui Tribe
  Pima Association of
    Governments
  Pima County
  Pinal County
  Salt River Project
  Tucson Electric Power
  Tucson Newspapers
 

 

 

 

   EBR   |   Eller College   |   UA   |   Contact Us    |   Subscribe
  

© 2009 The University of Arizona. All rights reserved.

The University of Arizona in Tucson, Arizona.
Arizona's Economy. Eller College of Management at the University of Arizona.